Bitcoin is once again at a crucial juncture, with analysts predicting potential volatility ahead. The world’s largest cryptocurrency is following a pattern that echoes its past cycles, leading investors to brace themselves for what lies ahead in the final months of the year.
The Cycle Clock Is Ticking
According to analyst Benjamin Cowen, Bitcoin’s previous two cycles lasted approximately 1,060 days before reaching their peaks. Currently, we are at around day 1,016, suggesting that Bitcoin could be approaching a potential top between October and December. While Bitcoin has historically peaked in November and December, the timing of the current cycle puts October in the spotlight, making it a critical period to monitor closely.
The “Danger Weeks” of Price Discovery
Analyst Rekt Capital has identified a recurring pattern in Bitcoin’s price discovery stages week by week. Looking back at previous cycles:
– In 2013, Bitcoin rallied for six weeks before experiencing a sharp correction in Week 7.
– In 2017, the rally extended to seven weeks before a 34% crash in Week 8.
– During the 2020-21 cycle, Bitcoin saw a six-week rally followed by a 30% pullback.
– In the current 2025 cycle, Bitcoin surged for seven weeks before sliding 32%.
– As of now, we are in Week 6 of the second price discovery uptrend, with a pullback already underway.
Rekt Capital refers to Weeks 6 to 8 as the “problem weeks” for Bitcoin, characterized by increased volatility and potential shakeouts among traders. However, historically, these turbulent weeks have also presented lucrative opportunities before the next leg up.
Today’s Chart Says… Rejection
On the charts, Bitcoin has recently faced resistance around $114,000 on the daily timeframe. This rejection aligns closely with historical trends, signaling a mid-cycle pullback just when optimism seemed to be at its peak.
In conclusion, as Bitcoin navigates through familiar patterns and key resistance levels, investors should remain vigilant and prepared for potential fluctuations in the market. By staying informed and monitoring market dynamics closely, traders can position themselves strategically to capitalize on opportunities that arise amid the volatility in the cryptocurrency space.